EU Exit Could Reduce UK Passenger Numbers 3-5 Pct

June 24, 2016

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The number of air passengers in the UK could drop by 3-5 percent by 2020 with an expected downturn in the economy and fall in sterling following Britain's EU exit vote, IATA said.

"In other words, the outcome of yesterday's referendum could reduce air passenger growth by 1.0-1.5 percentage points each year over the near term," the industry group said in an analysis. Air freight will be affected by lower international trade in the longer term, it said.

The regulatory impact on the aviation sector would depend on the nature of the exit terms and future arrangements between Britain and the European Union.

"In effect the choice comes down to a trade-off between two key issues -- access for UK airlines and customers to the European Single Aviation Market and policy freedom for the UK to set its own regulations," IATA added.